The Premier League matchday 21 fixture between Newcastle United and Leeds United will take place on 7 January at St James' Park. Newcastle United vs Leeds United: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United enjoyed two successful recent league matches, recording back-to-back wins for the second time this season. First they beat Burnley away (3:1), then they defeated Crystal Palace at home (2:0). Before the game with Crystal Palace the club had conceded in 12 consecutive Premier League matches. Newcastle United have moved up to ninth in the table and are now five points behind the Champions League places.
- The club has avoided defeat in 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches (5 wins and 2 draws).
- Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle United's last 13 Premier League matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 10 of the club's last 13 league games.
Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)*
Nick Pope – Lewis Miley, Fabian Schär, Lewis Hall, Malik Tiaw – Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Sandro Tonali – Yoan Wissa, Anthony Gordon, Jacob Murphy.
Due to injuries the match will be missed by forward William Osula and defenders Dan Burn and Emil Krafth. The participation of midfielder Anthony Elanga, defender Jamal Lascelles and forward Jacob Murphy is doubtful following recent knocks.
Leeds United
Leeds United faced a very difficult schedule over the last three rounds, but the visitors came through that tough period with honour, drawing all three matches. In the previous round the club hosted Manchester United and the teams exchanged a single goal apiece (1:1). The side are currently enjoying a seven-match unbeaten run in the Premier League (2 wins and 5 draws). Leeds United have not had such a long run without defeat in the Premier League since 2001. The team sit in a modest 16th position, but they have already opened an eight-point gap from the relegation zone.
- Both teams scored in 9 of the club's last 10 Premier League matches.
- On the road Leeds have a run of 7 league games without a win (3 draws and 4 losses).
- The team have avoided defeat in the second half in 8 consecutive Premier League matches (3 wins and 5 draws).
Potential Leeds United Lineup (3-5-2)*
Lukas Perry – Sebastien Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk – Brenden Aaronson, Ilia Gruev, James Justin, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.
Forward Daniel James and defender Joe Rodon are injured.
Referee
Michael Salisbury (England)
Matches – 7 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including seconds) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 43%.
Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Match Prediction
All indicators point to a victory for the hosts in this encounter. We will not risk a bet on Newcastle United to win outright, and instead prefer there to be at least three goals in the match. Newcastle United are strong at home, but they do occasionally drop points on their own turf. It is worth noting their scoring tendency — in each of their seven previous home league matches the club scored exactly two goals. At the same time the home team conceded in 5 of their last 6 home Premier League games.
Leeds United are very good at home, while away they win very rarely. At most they can fight for a draw, which they managed to do in their three previous Premier League away fixtures. Moreover, they took points from stronger opponents — Liverpool, Sunderland and Brentford. Leeds United scored in 4 of their last 5 away league matches, while they conceded in 20 of their last 21 Premier League away games.
Our forecast is Over 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
* The starting lineup listed for each team is from its previous match in this competition.
