Odds Overview
Racing are moderate favourites: Racing to win is 2.15 compared with 3.35 for Elche to win, while the draw is priced at 3.50. On the total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 looks preferable to Under 2.5 goals at 2.03. On the handicap 0 line, Racing Draw No Bet at 1.57 is notably shorter than Elche Draw No Bet at 2.40.
Why Racing Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers see Racing as slight favourites: a home win is priced at 2.15, while an Elche victory is 3.35 and the draw is 3.50. Racing double chance (1X, Racing not to lose) is offered at 1.33. The Santander club's edge is explained by several key factors.
Home advantage. Racing have scored at El Sardinero in 9 of their last 10 matches and have had at least 4 shots on target.
Elche's weak defence. The visitors concede an average of 3 goals per match — the worst figure in the league.
Elche's form. The team are 18th in the table with one point and a goal difference of 1:6.
Head-to-head record. Racing have beaten Elche at home in 7 of the last 9 meetings.
Form and Line-up Racing
After a hard-fought draw with Villarreal (2:2), in which the Santander side let victory slip after conceding twice in one minute. In the second round, Racing lost 0:1 away to Getafe, with the decisive goal coming in the 81st minute. Giorgi Guliashvili, who scored six goals last season, has returned to training after recovering from surgery.
Key numbers:
Racing have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
They conceded first in 7 of their previous 8 matches.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards were shown in 8 of their last 9 games.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Julen Agirrezabala — Alvaro Mantilla, Manu Hernando, Pablo Ramon, Jorge Salinas — Sergio Martinez, Gustavo Puerta — Andres Martin, Sergio Canales, Inigo Vicente — Asier Villalibre.
Absentees: Pedro Felipe (injury).
Form and Line-up Elche
Elche began with a draw against Deportivo (1:1), but then fell apart against Barcelona — 0:5, creating just 0.70 xG.
Key numbers:
Elche have not scored more than 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Elche have not taken more than 4 corners in 6 of their last 7 away matches in La Liga
Elche have received at least 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 12 away matches in La Liga
Probable line-up (5-4-1): Matias Dituro — Aboubacar Sangare, David Affengruber, Federico Redondo, Victor Chust, German Valera — Tete Morente, Marc Aguado, Gonzalo Villar, Ali Houary — Fer Nino.
Absentees: Iago Santiago, Adam Boayar (both injured).
Team Chances
Racing to win is offered at 2.15; the no-margin estimate is 2.26 and 44.3%. The draw is 3.50, with a no-margin estimate of 3.67 and a probability of 27.2%, while Elche to win is 3.35, with an estimate of 3.52 and 28.4%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Racing Santander to win | 2.15 | 2.26 | 44.3% |
Draw | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.2% |
Elche to win | 3.35 | 3.52 | 28.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.03. For a total of 3.5, Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is significantly preferable to Over 3.5 goals at 2.70.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.03 | 1.78 |
3.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Handicap Prediction
On the -1.5 handicap, Racing (-1.5) is priced at 3.65, while Elche (-1.5) is 5.80. On the 1.5 line, the prices are 1.08 for Racing (+1.5) and 1.25 for Elche (+1.5). Racing (-1) at 2.95 is shorter than Elche (-1) at 5.10, while Racing (+1) at 1.11 compares with Elche (+1) at 1.35. On the handicap 0 line, Racing Draw No Bet at 1.57 is preferable to Elche Draw No Bet at 2.40.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.65 | -1.5 | 5.80 |
1.08 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
2.95 | -1 | 5.10 |
1.11 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.57 | 0 | 2.40 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.65 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.15, which means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.65 |
No | 2.15 |
Double Chance Prediction
Double chance 12 at 1.30 is priced slightly shorter than 1X at 1.33, while X2 at 1.70 looks less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.33 | 1.30 | 1.70 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Racing Santander — 1.5 goals, Elche — 1 goal.
Racing Santander Team Total
Racing Santander: Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 is noticeably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.10; on the 1 line, Over is 1.35 against Under at 2.90. For a total of 1.5, Under at 1.77 is slightly preferable to Over at 1.97, while on the 2 line Under at 1.35 is shorter than Over at 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.77 | 1.5 | 1.97 |
1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Elche Team Total
Elche: Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is preferable to Under 0.5 goals at 2.95. On the 1 line, Over at 1.70 is shorter than Under at 2.08, while for a total of 1.5, Under at 1.48 is notably lower than Over at 2.55.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
2.08 | 1 | 1.70 |
1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Carlos Muniz (Spain)
Matches — 24 (Segunda and La Liga, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 24;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 24.
