Odds Overview
Bayern are overwhelming favourites: an away win is available at 1.16, compared with 15.00 for a Schalke win and 8.50 for the draw. In the main totals market, over 2.5 goals at 1.23 is considerably more likely than under 2.5 goals at 3.70. In the handicap market, Bayern (-1.5) at 1.42 looks more likely than Schalke (+1.5) at 2.65.
Why Bayern Are Favourites
Bookmakers give Bayern an unequivocal advantage: the away win is quoted at 1.16, the draw at 8.50, and a Schalke victory at 15.00.
The Munich side have traditionally dominated this fixture, going unbeaten against Schalke in 23 consecutive Bundesliga matches, 20 of which they won.
The visitors began the league campaign with a commanding 5:1 win over Stuttgart and immediately went top of the Bundesliga table.
Form and Line-up Schalke
The hosts made a difficult start to the new season, losing 0:3 to Augsburg in the opening round. Ron Schallenberg's sending-off in the 62nd minute proved the turning point, after which the team conceded twice more.
Matches involving the Gelsenkirchen side are regularly open affairs: in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga games, spectators saw at least three goals, while in 8 of 10 cases the teams combined for over 11 shots on target.
Key numbers:
Schalke have conceded at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches
In 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches, Schalke have taken at least five corners
In 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches, Schalke's opponents have been caught offside at least twice
Probable Schalke line-up (3-4-2-1): Loris Karius — Timo Becker — Nikola Katic — Hasan Kurucay — Junior Dina Ebimbe — Satoshi Tanaka — Soufiane El-Faouzi — Robin Gosens — Dejan Ljubicic — Moussa Sylla — Adil Aouchiche
Form and Line-up Bayern
The Munich side are confident away from home, with an unbeaten Bundesliga away run of 17 matches.
In away matches, the team consistently retains control of the game until the final whistle, having gone unbeaten in the second half in 16 consecutive league away fixtures.
Key numbers:
Bayern have registered at least five shots on target in their last 10 Bundesliga away matches
In 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, Bayern have scored at least two goals
Bayern have taken at least five corners in their last 10 Bundesliga home matches
Probable Bayern line-up (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer — Konrad Laimer — Dayot Upamecano — Jonathan Tah — Alphonso Davies — Joshua Kimmich — Aleksandar Pavlovic — Michael Olise — Ismael Saibari — Luis Diaz — Harry Kane
Team Chances
A Schalke win at 15.00 corresponds to fair odds of 15.70 and a probability of 6.4%. For the draw, the odds are 8.50, with fair odds of 8.89 and a probability of 11.2%. Bayern are quoted at 1.16, with fair odds of 1.21 and a probability of 82.4%, underlining the visitors' clear advantage.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Schalke to win | 15.00 | 15.70 | 6.4% |
Draw | 8.50 | 8.89 | 11.2% |
Bayern to win | 1.16 | 1.21 | 82.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, over 2.5 goals at 1.23 is considerably shorter than under 2.5 goals at 3.70. At the 3.5-goal mark, over 3.5 goals is also favoured: 1.63 compared with 2.30 for under 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 3.70 | 1.23 |
3.5 | 2.30 | 1.63 |
Handicap Prediction
Bayern (-1.5) are available at 1.42, while Schalke (+1.5) are at 2.65; the odds favour the away side.
Home | Handicap | Away |
— | -1.5 | 1.42 |
2.65 | 1.5 | — |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is quoted at 1.75 and looks slightly more likely than both teams to score - No at 2.02. The latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.75 |
No | 2.02 |
Double Chance Prediction
The most likely double-chance selection is X2 at 1.04. The 12 option is available at 1.09, while 1X at 5.30 is considerably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
5.30 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Schalke — 0.5 goals, Bayern — 3 goals.
Schalke Team Total
Schalke team total: over 0.5 goals at 1.73 is slightly more likely than under 0.5 goals at 2.05. At the 1-goal line, under 1 goal at 1.35 is considerably more likely than over 1 goal at 2.95, while at the 1.5-goal mark, under 1.5 goals at 1.18 is much shorter than over 1.5 goals at 4.10.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.05 | 0.5 | 1.73 |
1.35 | 1 | 2.95 |
1.18 | 1.5 | 4.10 |
Bayern Team Total
Bayern team total: over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is favoured over under 2.5 goals at 2.50. At the 3-goal line, the odds are close, but over 3 goals at 1.75 is quoted shorter than under 3 goals at 2.00; at the 3.5-goal mark, under 3.5 goals at 1.65 looks more likely than over 3.5 goals at 2.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.50 | 2.5 | 1.50 |
2.00 | 3 | 1.75 |
1.65 | 3.5 | 2.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robert Schroder (Germany)
Matches — 9 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 9;
Matches with penalties — 4 out of 9.
