Odds overview
Stuttgart to win is available at around 2.35, Borussia Dortmund to win at 2.80, while the draw is quoted at 3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5: 1.40 versus 2.75. In the main handicap market, Stuttgart Draw No Bet is shorter than Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet — 1.75 versus 2.05.
Why Stuttgart are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the home side: Stuttgart to win is available at 2.35, the draw at 3.80, and Borussia Dortmund to win at 2.80.
- At home, Stuttgart regularly control matches: they have not been outperformed for shots on target in their last 10 Bundesliga home games.
- The hosts have the edge over opponents in overall attacking activity: Stuttgart have had more shots in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Form and Line-up Stuttgart
In the previous round, Stuttgart lost 1:2 away to Hoffenheim despite having 16 shots, with Maximilian Mittelstadt scoring their only goal after the break.
After three rounds, the team have three points and a goal difference of 6:8, while Stuttgart's opponents have an expected-goals figure of 3.23 in the pre-match league sample.
- Stuttgart have not lost 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- Stuttgart have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- At home, Stuttgart's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in 10 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Stuttgart line-up (4-4-2): Fabian Bredlow, Ramon Hendriks, Josha Vagnoman, Angelo Stiller, Maximilian Mittelstadt, Ermedin Demirovic, Chris Fuhrich, Dzenan Pejcinovic, Grisha Promel, Jeff Chabot, Finn Jeltsch
Form and Line-up Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund thrashed Paderborn 3:0 in the previous round: Fabio Silva opened the scoring and Felix Nmecha scored twice late on. Defender Nico Schlotterbeck returned to Dortmund's starting line-up for this match, playing 77 minutes after a long recovery.
Dortmund have been restrained defensively at the start of the season: in the pre-match Bundesliga sample, their opponents are averaging only 0.67 goals per game.
- In 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches, Borussia Dortmund's opponents have had no more than 14 shots.
- Borussia Dortmund have been caught offside no more than twice in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- In 8 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 Bundesliga away matches, there have been no more than 10 shots on target.
Probable Borussia Dortmund line-up (3-4-1-2): Gregor Kobel, Filippo Mane, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson, Joey Veerman, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Ethan Nwaneri, Serhou Guirassy, Fabio Silva
Team chances
Stuttgart to win is available at 2.35; the fair odds are 2.46, with a probability of 40.7%. The figures for the draw are 3.80, 3.97 and 25.2%, while those for Borussia Dortmund to win are 2.80, 2.93 and 34.1% respectively: the hosts are considered slight favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart to win | 2.35 | 2.46 | 40.7% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.97 | 25.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund to win | 2.80 | 2.93 | 34.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 is available at 1.40 versus 2.75 for Under 2.5. At the 3.5 line, the odds are almost even: Under 3.5 is 1.83 and Over 3.5 is 1.98.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
Handicap prediction
Stuttgart (-1.5) is available at 3.50 and Borussia Dortmund (-1.5) at 4.70. The odds for Stuttgart (+1.5) and Borussia Dortmund (+1.5) are 1.14 and 1.25; at the -1 line they are 3.00 and 4.20, and at the +1 line 1.20 and 1.35. The Draw No Bet market slightly favours the hosts: Stuttgart (0) is 1.75 and Borussia Dortmund (0) is 2.05.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | -1.5 | 4.70 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.00 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 0 | 2.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.35, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is available at 2.95. The market clearly expects goals from both sides.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.35 |
| No | 2.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
1/4
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
1/4
|
57/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Stuttgart — 1.5 goals; Borussia Dortmund — 1.5 goals.
Stuttgart team total
Stuttgart team total: Under 0.5 is 5.00 and Over 0.5 is 1.12; Under 1 is 3.25 and Over 1 is 1.30. At the 1.5 line, the odds are 2.00 for Under and 1.77 for Over; at the 2 line, they are 1.57 and 2.35 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.57 | 2 | 2.35 |
Borussia Dortmund team total
Borussia Dortmund team total: Under 0.5 is available at 4.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.16; Under 1 at 2.95 and Over 1 at 1.35. At the 1.5 line, Under is 1.78 and Over is 1.98; at the 2 line, they are 1.35 and 3.00 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches — 15 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 15;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 15.
