Odds overview
Sunderland are slight favourites: the home win is available at 2.40, while the draw is 3.25 and the away win is 3.05. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.02. In the handicap market, Sunderland Draw No Bet at 1.70 is notably shorter than Fulham Draw No Bet at 2.13.
Why Sunderland are favourites for the match
Bookmakers give Sunderland a slight edge: the home win is available at 2.40, Fulham to win at 3.05, and the draw at 3.25.
- Fulham's away results in the league remain a concern: they have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Sunderland are solid defensively at home: in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, opponents have scored no more than one goal.
Form and Line-up Sunderland
In the first round of the Premier League, Sunderland lost 1:2 away to Ipswich, with Nilson Angulo scoring their only goal. During pre-season, they won three friendlies (2:1, 1:0 and 1:0), although the results of warm-up matches have limited value ahead of competitive league fixtures.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of Sunderland's last 10 Premier League home matches, they and their opponents have registered no more than nine shots on target.
- In 8 of Sunderland's last 10 Premier League home matches, the total number of shots has not exceeded 26.
- Sunderland have scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Sunderland line-up (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs — Thomas Meunier, Dan Ballard, Luke O'Nien, Reinildo Mandava — Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki — Trai Hume, Enzo Le Fee, Nilson Angulo — Brian Brobbey
Absentees: Simon Adingra
Form and Line-up Fulham
Fulham began the league campaign with a 2:3 home defeat to Chelsea, with Joshua King and Gonzalo Garcia scoring. Alvaro Arbeloa took charge in the summer and is building an aggressive pressing game, while a cup match against AFC Wimbledon three days before the trip to Sunderland has added to the workload.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Fulham have had no more than five shots on target.
- In 9 of Fulham's last 10 Premier League away matches, their opponents have committed no more than 10 fouls.
- Fulham have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable Fulham line-up (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno — Timothy Castagne, Jorge Cuenca, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson — Sander Berge, Joshua King — Oscar Bobb, Alex Iwobi, Cesar Palacios — Gonzalo Garcia
Absentees: Tom Cairney (injury)
Team chances
The home win is available at 2.45; fair odds are 2.56 and the probability is 39.1%. The draw is 3.30, with fair odds of 3.45 and a probability of 29.0%. The away win is 3.00, while fair odds are 3.13 and the probability is 31.9%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Sunderland to win | 2.45 | 2.56 | 39.1% |
Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
Fulham to win | 3.00 | 3.13 | 31.9% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.78 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.05. At 3.5, the advantage for Under 3.5 goals is even more pronounced — 1.30 versus 3.25 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.78 | 2.05 |
3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Sunderland (-1.5) is available at 4.40 and Fulham (-1.5) at 5.50. On the 1.5 handicap, Sunderland (+1.5) at 1.10 is shorter than Fulham (+1.5) at 1.15. Sunderland (-1) is 3.75, while Fulham (-1) is 4.70; on the 1 handicap, the odds are 1.13 for Sunderland (+1) and 1.23 for Fulham (+1). Sunderland Draw No Bet at 1.72 is shorter than Fulham Draw No Bet at 2.13.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.40 | -1.5 | 5.50 |
1.10 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
3.75 | -1 | 4.70 |
1.13 | 1 | 1.23 |
1.72 | 0 | 2.13 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.77, shorter than 2.00 for Both teams to score - No; the market slightly favours both teams scoring.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.77 |
No | 2.00 |
Double chance prediction
Double chance 12 is available at 1.35, 1X at 1.40, and X2 at 1.58. The market considers a match without a draw the most likely outcome.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.40 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
Team totals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Sunderland — 1 goal, Fulham — 1 goal.
Sunderland team total
Sunderland team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.45 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.25. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 2.35 versus 1.55 for Over 1 goal, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Fulham team total
Fulham team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.95 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.35. On the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.02 for Under 1 goal and 1.75 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is 1.40 versus 2.65 for Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
2.02 | 1 | 1.75 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michael Salisbury (England)
Matches — 14 (Premier League, 2025/26 season)
Average fouls per match — 21.93
Average yellow cards per match — 4.36
