Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Union Berlin to win at 2.50 have a slight edge over Eintracht Frankfurt to win at 2.65, while the draw is priced at 3.65. In the totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. On the main handicap line, Union Berlin Draw No Bet at 1.85 looks slightly more likely than Eintracht Frankfurt Draw No Bet at 1.95.
Why Union Berlin Are Favourites
The bookmakers have set close odds for the main outcomes: a Union Berlin win is priced at 2.50, an Eintracht Frankfurt success is available at 2.65, and the draw is offered at 3.65.
Union Berlin began the season under new head coach Mauro Lustrinelli with victory in the DFB-Pokal, but his staff have overseen just one official match in charge of the team.
Adi Hutter has returned to Eintracht Frankfurt and won the opening cup match by a big margin, but the level of opposition does not yet allow us to judge Frankfurt's readiness for the Bundesliga.
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
In the first round of the DFB-Pokal, Union Berlin beat Eintracht Braunschweig 4:2. The Berlin side came from behind twice during the match, before substitute Marin Ljubicic made an excellent impact and scored the winning double after the 72nd minute.
In recent Bundesliga home matches, Union Berlin's opponents have not scored many: in 9 of those 10 games, Union's opponents had no more than five shots on target.
Key numbers:
The Berlin side have scored in all seven official home matches since the start of February.
In 8 of 10 Bundesliga home matches, Union Berlin and their opponents took no more than 10 corners combined.
Union Berlin have received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga games.
Probable Union Berlin line-up (4-4-2): Marvin Raab — Josip Juranovic — Leopold Querfeld — Zeno Van Den Bosch — Tom Rothe — Woo-yeong Jeong — Rani Khedira — Aljoscha Kemlein — Livan Burcu — Emmanuel Latte Lath — Ilyas Ansah.
Form and Line-up Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt started the season by thrashing fifth-division club St. Tonis 11:0 in the DFB-Pokal, scoring ten goals before half-time.
At the same time, Frankfurt have struggled to dominate in Bundesliga away matches: in 9 of 10 away games, Eintracht Frankfurt did not outperform their opponents on shots on target — only one of those matches was won.
Key numbers:
Eintracht Frankfurt were among the five teams with the worst goals-conceded record last season.
Eintracht Frankfurt allowed at least 5 corners in 9 of 10 Bundesliga away games.
The Eagles earned no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of 10 Bundesliga games.
Probable Eintracht Frankfurt line-up (4-4-2): Kaua Santos — Elias Baum — Robin Koch — Otavio — Keita Kosugi — Raphael Onyedika — Mario Gotze — Ayoube Amaimouni — Can Uzun — Jonathan Burkardt — Younes Ebnoutalib.
Team Chances
The no-margin estimate gives Union Berlin to win a 38.0% chance at odds of 2.50 and a fair price of 2.63, while Eintracht Frankfurt to win are at 35.9%, with odds of 2.65 and 2.79. The draw is noticeably less likely: 26.1%, odds of 3.65, and a no-margin estimate of 3.84.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
Union Berlin to win | 2.50 | 2.63 | 38% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 26.1% |
Eintracht Frankfurt to win | 2.65 | 2.79 | 35.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over at 1.63 is preferred to Under at 2.30. At 3.5, the relationship is reversed: Under at 1.55 is rated above Over at 2.40.
Under | Line | Over |
2.30 | 2.5 | 1.63 |
1.55 | 3.5 | 2.40 |
Handicap Prediction
Union Berlin handicap (-1.5) at 4.20 is slightly more likely than Eintracht Frankfurt handicap (-1.5) at 4.40, while on the 1.5 line Union Berlin handicap (+1.5) at 1.16 and Eintracht Frankfurt handicap (+1.5) at 1.17 are almost level. Union Berlin handicap (-1) at 3.65 is also slightly shorter than Eintracht Frankfurt handicap (-1) at 3.80; for the handicap 1 line, the odds are 1.22 against 1.25. On the zero line, Union Berlin Draw No Bet at 1.85 is preferred to Eintracht Frankfurt Draw No Bet at 1.95.
Union Berlin | Handicap | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4.20 | (-1.5) | 4.40 |
1.16 | (+1.5) | 1.17 |
3.65 | (-1) | 3.80 |
1.22 | (+1) | 1.25 |
1.85 | (0) | 1.95 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.50 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.45, which means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.50 |
No | 2.45 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest odds are on 12 at 1.30. 1X at 1.50 is rated slightly higher than X2 at 1.55.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/20
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Union Berlin — 1.5 goals, Eintracht Frankfurt — 1.5 goals.
Union Berlin Team Total
Union Berlin: Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 is strongly preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 4.10; on the 1 line, Over is 1.35 against Under at 2.90. For 1.5, Under at 1.75 is slightly more likely than Over at 2.02, while at 2, Under at 1.30 is noticeably lower than Over at 3.25.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.75 | 1.5 | 2.02 |
1.30 | 2 | 3.25 |
Eintracht Frankfurt Team Total
Eintracht Frankfurt: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is significantly preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 4.10; on the 1 line, Over is 1.45 against Under at 2.65. For 1.5, Under at 1.67 is rated higher than Over at 2.13, while at 2, Under at 1.27 is noticeably lower than Over at 3.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.67 | 1.5 | 2.13 |
1.27 | 2 | 3.40 |
