Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 27 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: François Letexier (France)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Darwin Nunez.
Real Madrid (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin – Ferland Mendy, Jesus Vallejo, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric – Kylian Mbappe, Endrick Felipe.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side confidently leads the Champions League group stage standings. Liverpool is the only team yet to drop points. The team has conceded just one goal, which came in the match against AC Milan in the first round (3-1). Subsequently, the English side secured clean-sheet victories over Bologna (2-0), Leipzig (1-0), and Bayer (4-0). Notably, Luis Diaz scored a hat-trick in the previous encounter against the Leverkusen side.
Forwards Federico Chiesa and Diogo Jota, along with goalkeeper Alisson Becker, will miss the match due to injuries.
- Liverpool has won 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches (with two losses to Real Madrid).
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Liverpool's last 8 games in this tournament.
- In 8 of the last 11 home matches for the English side in the Champions League, the first half ended in a draw.
Real Madrid
The Spaniards unexpectedly lost 1-3 at home to AC Milan in the last round. This was the team's second defeat in the group stage – previously, they lost away to Lille (0-1). Real Madrid has just two victories, both achieved at the Santiago Bernabeu – against Stuttgart (3-1) and Borussia (5-2). Real is positioned 18th, trailing the top eight by 3 points.
Defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, Lucas Vazquez, and Eder Militao, midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni, as well as forwards Rodrygo Goes and Vinicius Junior, will not play due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 Champions League games during regular time.
- Real has not won the first half in six matches in this tournament (3 draws and 3 losses).
- The Spaniards have not lost in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 away Champions League games (4 wins and 2 draws).
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Liverpool is in excellent form. The team leads not only in the Champions League but also in the Premier League. However, despite their strong performance this season, Liverpool struggles against Real Madrid. In their last eight meetings in this European competition, Madrid has won seven times with one draw. The goal difference in these encounters is 17-4 in favor of the Spaniards. Also, the English side has never scored more than one goal per game in these matches.
I believe the bookmakers were quick to favor the hosts in this game. I suggest that the visitors can avoid defeat in England. Real Madrid has much more tournament motivation, as the team risks missing out on direct qualification to the Round of 16, while Liverpool would be content with a draw in this match, as it would keep them at the top of the table.
My prediction – Real Madrid to win or draw
