Odds Overview
Athletic Club are clear favourites: Athletic Club to win is priced at 1.70, compared with 3.70 for the draw and 5.10 for Sevilla FC to win. In the main goals total, Under 2.5 at 1.65 is noticeably shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.25. On the handicap line, Athletic Club Draw No Bet at 1.25 is preferred to Sevilla FC Draw No Bet at 3.50; bigger handicaps of Athletic Club (-1) and Athletic Club (-1.5) are priced at 2.40 and 2.90.
Why Athletic Club Are Favourites for the Match
Athletic Club to win is priced at 1.70, the draw at 3.70 and Sevilla FC to win at 5.10. The market clearly highlights the hosts, although the selected totals market does not require picking a winner.
Home factor. Athletic Club are traditionally strong at San Mames. In 10 of their last 10 La Liga home matches, the Basques' opponents took no more than five corners, which points to full control from the hosts over the game.
Head-to-head statistics. Sevilla FC have not won the first half in 17 consecutive away matches, which points to weak starts from the Andalusians on the road.
Pre-season form. Athletic Club lost 0:1 to Atalanta and 1:3 to Marseille in their latest friendlies, but competed well in the rest of their warm-up matches. Sevilla FC finished their preparations without standout results against clubs that were not among the very top sides.
The new coach's experience. Edin Terzic, who has taken charge of Athletic Club, is known for his ability to build an organised defensive game, which further lowers the chances of a high-scoring match.
Form and Line-up Athletic Club
Athletic Club's pre-season results were mixed: after five wins and a draw came two defeats, but against top-level opponents — Atalanta (0:1) and Marseille (1:3).
The game against Sevilla FC will be Athletic Club's first competitive match under Edin Terzic. No one was bought for the new coach during the off-season, with only players returning from loan.
Key numbers:
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 5 matches.
No more than 4 yellow cards were shown in 10 consecutive matches.
There were fewer than 10 corners in 7 of the last 9 matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon — Jesus Areso, Yeray Alvarez, Aitor Paredes, Yuri Berchiche — Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Manuel Jauregizar — Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, Robert Navarro — Gorka Guruzeta.
Absentees: Dani Vivian (injury).
Form and Line-up Sevilla FC
Sevilla FC started the La Liga season with a 2:1 win over Rayo Vallecano. They conceded an early goal, converted two penalties and scored the winner in added time through Peque.
At the same time, Sevilla FC's pre-season was decent, but mainly against teams that were not among the very top sides: four wins, a draw and two defeats, including one against Bayer Leverkusen (1:2).
Key numbers:
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 5 matches.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards were shown in 6 of the previous 7 matches.
There were fewer than 10 corners in 9 of the last 10 games.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Odisseas Vlachodimos — Juan Iglesias, Arouna Sangante, Andres Castrin, Gabriel Suazo — Lucien Agoume, Jon Guridi — Miguel Ortega, Peque, Oso — Robbie Ure.
Absentees: Kike Salas (suspended), Alfon Gonzalez (doubtful).
Team Chances
Athletic Club to win: odds of 1.70, fair odds of 1.79 and a probability of 55.8%. The draw is priced at 3.70, with fair odds of 3.90 and a probability of 25.6%; Sevilla FC to win is 5.10, 5.38 and 18.6% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
Athletic Club to win | 1.70 | 1.79 | 55.8% |
Draw | 3.70 | 3.90 | 25.6% |
Sevilla FC to win | 5.10 | 5.38 | 18.6% |
Goals Total Prediction
Under 2.5 at 1.65 is shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.25. On the 2-goal line, Under is priced at 2.13 and Over at 1.67; for 3.5, Under is priced at 1.20 compared with 4.15 for Over.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
2 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
3.5 | 1.20 | 4.15 |
Handicap Prediction
Athletic Club (-1.5) is available at 2.90, while Sevilla FC (+1.5) is 1.35. Athletic Club (-1) is priced at 2.40 compared with 1.57 for Sevilla FC (+1). On the zero line, Athletic Club Draw No Bet is 1.25 and Sevilla FC Draw No Bet is 3.50.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.90 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.35 |
2.40 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.57 |
1.25 | 0 | 3.50 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.67 is priced lower than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.15: the market more often expects at least one team not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.15 |
No | 1.67 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest odds are on 1X at 1.17, followed by 12 at 1.28. X2 is priced significantly higher at 2.15.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.17 | 1.28 | 2.15 |
Team Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goals lines: Athletic Club — 1.5 goals, Sevilla FC — 0.5 goals.
Athletic Club Team Goals
Athletic Club: Under 0.5 is priced at 4.10 compared with 1.18 for Over 0.5; Under 1 is 2.85 and Over 1 is 1.37. On the 1.5 line, Under is 1.72 and Over is 2.05; for 2, the prices are 1.30 and 3.15 respectively.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
1.72 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
1.30 | 2 | 3.15 |
Sevilla FC Team Goals
Sevilla FC: Under 0.5 is priced at 2.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.75. Under 1 is 1.32 compared with 3.10 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 is 1.15 compared with 4.50 for Over 1.5.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
1.32 | 1 | 3.10 |
1.15 | 1.5 | 4.50 |
