Odds overview
Freiburg are favourites: a home win is available at 1.98, while the draw and an away win are 3.65 and 3.75. Over 2.5 goals is shorter than Under 2.5 goals — 1.77 versus 2.05 — indicating an expectation of a high-scoring match. The main handicap, Freiburg Draw No Bet, is available at 1.48, while Werder Bremen Draw No Bet is 2.65.
Why Freiburg are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.98 for a Freiburg win, 3.65 for the draw and 3.75 for a Werder Bremen win.
The hosts have retained their key attacking players and extended Vincenzo Grifo's contract; he remains their main link player and set-piece specialist.
The visitors had an active transfer window and immediately put Niclas Fullkrug, Ludovit Reis and Alexander Schlager into the starting line-up, but their cohesion is at a low level for the Bundesliga.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg have started the season with two wins: Julian Schuster's side beat Motherwell 3:1 in European competition, then comfortably defeated Fortuna Dusseldorf 5:1 in the first round of the German Cup.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, Freiburg have taken no more than 5 corners.
In 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, Freiburg have received no more than two yellow cards.
In 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, Freiburg have allowed no more than 5 shots on target.
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Mio Backhaus — Lukas Kubler — Matthias Ginter — Philipp Lienhart — Jordy Makengo — Maximilian Eggestein — Patrick Osterhage — Jan-Niklas Beste — Yuito Suzuki — Vincenzo Grifo — Lucas Holer.
Form and Line-up Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen opened their competitive season with a 3:0 German Cup win over Luneburger, taking control after scoring from a set piece.
Defensive midfielder Senne Lynen has returned to the Bremen side after recovering from an abdominal muscle injury and played in the first competitive match.
Key numbers:
In 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 Bundesliga away matches, their opponents have been caught offside no more than twice.
In 8 of Werder Bremen's last 10 Bundesliga away matches, no more than three goals have been scored.
Werder Bremen have lost four consecutive head-to-head matches against Freiburg, conceding 10 goals in total.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up (3-5-2): Alexander Schlager — Olivier Deman — Amos Pieper — Jens Stage — Samuel Mbangula — Senne Lynen — Ludovit Reis — Marco Friedl — Mick Schmetgens — Niclas Fullkrug — Justin Njinmah.
Team chances
A Freiburg win is available at 1.98; the fair odds are 2.07, with a probability of 48.3%. The figures for the draw are 3.65, 3.82 and 26.2%, while those for an away win are 3.75, 3.92 and 25.5% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Freiburg win | 1.98 | 2.07 | 48.3% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.82 | 26.2% |
Werder Bremen win | 3.72 | 3.92 | 25.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.05 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.77, so the higher-scoring option is more strongly favoured. At 3.5, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.70.
Under | Line | Over |
2.05 | 2.5 | 1.77 |
1.40 | 3.5 | 2.70 |
Handicap prediction
Freiburg (-1.5) are available at 3.30, while Werder Bremen (-1.5) are 6.70. At the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.06 for Freiburg (+1.5) and 1.30 for Werder Bremen (+1.5). Freiburg (-1) are available at 2.65 versus 5.90 for Werder Bremen (-1), while Freiburg (+1) are 1.08 versus 1.43 for Werder Bremen (+1). On the zero handicap, Freiburg (0) are 1.48 and Werder Bremen (0) are 2.65.
Freiburg | Handicap | Werder Bremen |
3.30 | (-1.5) | 6.70 |
1.06 | (+1.5) | 1.30 |
2.65 | (-1) | 5.90 |
1.08 | (+1) | 1.43 |
1.48 | (0) | 2.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.67 and is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.13; the No option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.67 |
No | 2.13 |
Double chance prediction
1X and 12 have the same odds of 1.30, while X2 is available at 1.85.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.30 | 1.30 | 1.85 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Freiburg — 1.5 goals, Werder Bremen — 1 goal.
Freiburg team total
Freiburg: Under 0.5 goals is 4.40 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.15; at the 1-goal line, they are 3.20 and 1.30 respectively. At 1.5 goals, the odds are almost identical: Under is 1.87 and Over is 1.88. At the 2-goal line, Under is 1.40 and Over is 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.40 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
3.20 | 1 | 1.30 |
1.87 | 1.5 | 1.88 |
1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Werder Bremen team total
Werder Bremen: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.75 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.92 and Over is 1.83, while at 1.5 goals Under at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.92 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches — 16 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.3;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 16;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 16.
