RB Leipzig Form
RB Leipzig are in outstanding form, having recorded four consecutive wins over the last month. During this run only Gladbach escaped with fewer than two goals conceded, losing 1:0, while away to Eintracht (3:1) the side wrapped up the victory late on – the final goal came from substitute Harder, who is set to become the new face of the project after Diomande is sold. The Ivorian, incidentally, is already in the top 10 scorers in the Bundesliga with 12+6, and within the squad only Baumgartner has more goal contributions (12+7). The club has not only consolidated its place in the top three – the gap to Borussia in second has been cut to five points, so a Champions League berth is almost in the bag.
Key RB Leipzig Numbers:
In their last five home matches RB Leipzig have collected 14 points from a possible 18. Over this stretch they have scored at least two goals in five of six games.
At home RB Leipzig have accumulated 39.45 xG – the second-best figure in the Bundesliga after Bayern Munich (55.35).
The side have conceded only 18 goals on their own pitch – only four teams have a better record.
Potential RB Leipzig Lineup (4-1-4-1)
Maarten Vandevoordt — Max Finkgrafe, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Lukas Klostermann, Ridle Baku — Nicolas Seiwald — Antonio Nusa, Christoph Baumgartner, Assan Ouedraogo, Yan Diomande — Romulo.
Unavailable: Willi Orban, Ezechiel Banzuzi (both injured).
Union Berlin Form
Despite a defeat for the away side in the new head coach's debut against Wolfsburg (1:2), Union Berlin still have a comfortable cushion above the relegation zone. The visitors are six points ahead of St Pauli in the relegation play-off place with four matches remaining in the campaign. Against Wolfsburg the team were very unfortunate (1.78–0.19 on xG), although Wolfsburg effectively decided the contest by the start of the second half and simply protected their lead. On their travels the side have shown nothing like that sort of intensity: they have lost nine of 15 away matches, including four defeats in the last five games.
Key Union Berlin Numbers:
Away from home the team have a dreadful goal difference (-14). Only three clubs have a worse record.
On the road Union Berlin have scored only 14 goals from 18.31 expected – they are more than four goals behind their xG, and only two teams have underperformed by more.
Since 2020 Union Berlin have lost four of their seven matches in Leipzig.
Potential Union Berlin Lineup (5-4-1)
Frederik Ronnow — Diogo Leite, Leopold Querfeld, Danilho Doekhi, Tom Rothe, Aljoscha Kemlein — Rani Khedira, Christopher Trimmel, Ilyas Ansah, Andrej Ilic — Oliver Burke.
Unavailable: Woo-yeong Jeong, Robert Skov, Matteo Raab (all injured).
