Odds overview
RB Leipzig are favourites: the away win is available at 1.85, compared with 3.80 for the home win, while the draw is quoted at 4.15. In the main total market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. In the main handicap market, RB Leipzig Draw No Bet at 1.40 is preferred to Werder Bremen Draw No Bet at 2.70.
Why RB Leipzig are favourites for the match
Bookmakers consider the visitors favourites: an RB Leipzig win is quoted at 1.85, the draw at 4.15 and a Werder Bremen victory at 3.80.
RB Leipzig made a confident start to the league season, thrashing Borussia Monchengladbach 3:0 and establishing themselves in the upper part of the table.
Werder Bremen lost 1:4 to SC Freiburg in Matchday 1, with the team dropping into a deep defensive block after the opening spell.
Form and Line-up Werder Bremen
After the heavy defeat at the start of the Bundesliga season, Werder Bremen head coach Daniel Thioune acknowledged that the team are in the process of rebuilding. Earlier, Werder Bremen beat Lüneburger SK Hansa 3:0 in the German Cup, but a match against lower-division opposition does not reflect their readiness for games against top clubs.
At home, Werder Bremen regularly create openings around the opposition goal, recording more than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches. However, they have not won the first half at home in 11 consecutive matches in the competition.
Key numbers:
Werder Bremen scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Werder Bremen had no more than 5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
At least 9 corners were recorded in 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up (4-3-3): Karl Hein — Mick Schmetgens — Amos Pieper — Marco Friedl — Olivier Deman — Senne Lynen — Ludovit Reis — Chuki — Justin Njinmah — Niclas Fullkrug — Marco Grull.
Form and Line-up RB Leipzig
Under Martin Demichelis, RB Leipzig started the season confidently, thrashing Eintracht Trier 6:0 in the German Cup. The visitors' attack has also been strengthened by the return of Christopher Nkunku on loan.
In Bundesliga away matches, RB Leipzig keep strict control of the game: in 9 of their last 10 away fixtures, their opponents took no more than 5 corners, while the matches themselves featured few infringements — no more than 21 fouls in 9 of 10 cases.
Key numbers:
RB Leipzig allowed no more than 5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
RB Leipzig's opponents scored no more than 1 goal in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
No more than 4 yellow cards were shown in 9 of RB Leipzig's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable RB Leipzig line-up (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt — Ridle Baku — Willi Orban — Castello Lukeba — David Raum — Rocco Reitz — Nicolas Seiwald — Ezechiel Banzuzi — Bryan Gruda — Tidiam Gomis — Antonio Nusa
Team chances
Average odds indicate an RB Leipzig advantage: the away win is 1.85, the fair odds are 1.93 and the probability is 51.7%. For a Werder Bremen win, the figures are 3.80, 3.97 and 25.2%, while for the draw they are 4.15, 4.34 and 23.1% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Werder Bremen to win | 3.80 | 3.97 | 25.2% |
Draw | 4.15 | 4.34 | 23.1% |
RB Leipzig to win | 1.85 | 1.93 | 51.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is rated more highly than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. At the 3.5 mark, Under 3.5 goals holds the advantage: 1.65 compared with 2.25 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
RB Leipzig (-1.5) at 2.70 is considerably shorter than Werder Bremen (-1.5) at 6.50. On the 1.5 handicap, RB Leipzig (+1.5) is 1.07 compared with 1.40 for Werder Bremen (+1.5); on the -1 line, RB Leipzig (-1) is 2.30 and Werder Bremen (-1) is 5.70. For the 1 handicap, the odds are 1.09 for RB Leipzig (+1) and 1.60 for Werder Bremen (+1), while on the zero handicap RB Leipzig Draw No Bet is 1.40 compared with 2.70 for Werder Bremen Draw No Bet.
Home team | Handicap | Away team |
6.50 | -1.5 | 2.70 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
5.70 | -1 | 2.30 |
1.60 | 1 | 1.09 |
2.70 | 0 | 1.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.50 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.50, meaning at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.50 |
No | 2.50 |
Double chance prediction
The 12 double chance is quoted at 1.25, X2 at 1.30, while 1X is 1.97.
1X | 12 | X2 |
97/100
|
1/4
|
3/10
|
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Werder Bremen — 1 goal, RB Leipzig — 2 goals.
Werder Bremen team total
Werder Bremen team total: Over 0.5 goals is 1.30 compared with 3.20 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.73 is slightly shorter than Under 1 at 2.05, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is preferred at 1.45 compared with 2.60 for Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
1.45 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
RB Leipzig team total
RB Leipzig team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.50. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is 1.63 compared with 2.20 for Under 1.5 goals; at 2, Under 2 goals is 1.68 compared with 2.12 for Over 2 goals. At the 2.5 mark, Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.40 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
2.20 | 1.5 | 1.63 |
1.68 | 2 | 2.12 |
1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
