Odds overview
Atletico Madrid are slight favourites: the away win is available at 2.40, compared with 2.90 for the home win and 3.55 for a draw. Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.20. In the Draw No Bet market, Atletico Madrid at 1.75 look more likely than Real Sociedad at 2.10.
Why Atletico Madrid are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the visitors: an Atletico Madrid win is quoted at 2.40, a Real Sociedad victory at 2.90 and a draw at 3.55.
• Atletico have made a more confident start to the league than their opponents and sit sixth in the table after four matches, with 7 points.
• Real Sociedad have already slipped up against strong opponents, losing 0:1 away to Real Betis.
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad won 3:2 away to Elche at the start of September and had shortly beforehand beaten Espanyol 2:1 at home.
The Basques' only draw came at home to Celta Vigo, in a goalless 0:0 match. Meanwhile, the club are strengthening their defence: sporting director Erik Bretos confirmed the loan signing of Mamadou Sarr and that Jon Pacheco would remain with the team.
At home, the San Sebastian side are traditionally active in the tackle and press: they have not lost the offsides count in their last 10 La Liga home matches and have also not been beaten on total shots, including blocked efforts, in 9 of 10 games at the Reale Arena.
- Real Sociedad have scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches
- Real Sociedad have received at least 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches
- Real Sociedad have committed at least 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches
Probable Real Sociedad line-up (4-2-3-1): Alex Remiro, Jon Aramburu, Luken Beitia, Jon Martin, Sergio Gomez, Benat Turrientes, Yangel Herrera, Takefusa Kubo, Luka Sucic, Job Ochieng, Mikel Oyarzabal
Form and Line-up Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid come into the match after two away setbacks: they lost 0:3 to Athletic Bilbao in the league before losing 1:2 to Liverpool in the Champions League.
In away La Liga matches, Atletico's opponents consistently find space in attack and register at least 4 shots on target in 8 of the last 10 matches. At the same time, the Madrid side hold their defensive line with discipline, allowing opponents to catch them offside no more than twice in 9 of 10 away games.
- Atletico Madrid have registered at least 4 shots on target in each of their last 10 La Liga matches
- Atletico Madrid have received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches
- Atletico Madrid have committed at least 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches
Probable Atletico Madrid line-up (4-3-3): Jan Oblak, Lee Kang-in, Pablo Barrios, Alex Baena, Ademola Lookman, Marcos Llorente, David Hancko, Marc Pubill, Giuliano Simeone, Alejandro Grimaldo, Morten Hjulmand
Team chances
The away win is available at 2.40; the fair odds are 2.50 and the probability is 39.9%. The home win is priced at 2.90, with fair odds of 3.03 and a probability of 33.1%. A draw is available at 3.55, with fair odds of 3.70 and a probability of 27.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 2.90 | 3.03 | 33.1% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.70 | 27.0% |
| Atletico Madrid to win | 2.40 | 2.50 | 39.9% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.20. On the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, Atletico Madrid (-1.5) at 4.15 is shorter than Real Sociedad (-1.5) at 4.80. On the +1.5 handicap, Atletico Madrid (+1.5) have the shortest odds at 1.13, compared with 1.20 for Real Sociedad (+1.5). On the -1 handicap line, Atletico Madrid (-1) at 3.35 are preferred to Real Sociedad (-1) at 4.15, while on the +1 line Atletico Madrid (+1) are at 1.17 and Real Sociedad (+1) at 1.27. In the Draw No Bet market, Atletico Madrid are at 1.75 and Real Sociedad at 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.15 | -1 | 3.35 |
| 1.27 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.10 | 0 | 1.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.57, shorter than 2.35 for Both teams to score - No: the market expects both teams to score rather than a scenario in which at least one fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Real Sociedad — 1.5 goals, Atletico Madrid — 1.5 goals.
Real Sociedad team total
Real Sociedad team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.50; Over 1 at 1.50 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.50. On the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.60 is preferred to Over at 2.25, while on the 2-goal line Under at 1.23 is shorter than Over at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.50 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Atletico Madrid team total
Atletico Madrid team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.20, while Over 1 at 1.37 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.85. On the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.77 is slightly shorter than Over at 1.97, while on the 2-goal line Under at 1.32 is shorter than Over at 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.77 | 1.5 | 1.97 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.10 |
